Live Blogging Super Tuesday

Alaska - Barack Obama Projected Winner

Missouri - Barack Obama Projected Winner (Apparently)

California - Hillary Clinton Projected Winner

Colorado - Barack Obama Projected Winner

Quick Analysis: How is it folk are spinning tonight as an Obama disappointment? Are you serious? The man was down 20 some odd points in MOST if NOT ALL of the Super Tuesday states (Illinois and Georgia notwithstanding). AND he's winning MORE states and (possibly) the delegate count then Hillary at this point.

The punditocracy needs to sit down and shut up.

Obama leads (Pledged) Delegate Count?

Obama campaign claiming lead in delegates:

Barack Obama's presidential campaign is claiming an early lead in pledged delegates for Super Tuesday.

In a media conference call at 10:30pm, Campaign Manager David Plouffe estimated that Obama leads Hillary Clinton in pledged delegates by 606 to 534. -- The Nation

Hat Tip Group News Blog

Live Blogging Super Tuesday

Arizona - Hillary Clinton Projected Winner

Idaho - Barack Obama Projected Winner

Kansas - Barack Obama Projected Winner
His Momma's State

Conneticut- Barack Obama Projected Winner
That's HUGE

Minnesota - Barack Obama Projected Winer
This is pretty big

Utah - Barack Obama Projected Winner

North Dakota - Barack Obama Projected Winner

Alabama - Barack Obama Projected Winner

New Jersey - Hillary Clinton Projected Winner
Trounced Obama. Ouch. A little surprising

Delaware - Barack Obama Projected Winner

Massachusetts - HIllary Clinton Projected Winner

Note: Massachusetts is one of the states where the person who wins the popular vote very well may NOT win the delegate count

A Little (Early) Analysis

The Good News:
The longer it takes to call New Jersey, Massachusetts, Connecticut and Missouri the better for Barack Obama

The Even Better News
Even if Obama loses some states by as much as ten points (think Oklahoma and Tennessee) he could still come away with a significant amount of delegates and he may win the delegate count in states where he loses the popular vote.

Live Blogging Super Tuesday

Arkansas - Hillary Clinton Projected Winner

Tennessee - Hillary Clinton Projected Winner

Huckabee Leading in Georgia

Well Damn,

This night is gonna be way more interesting than I ever thought it would be....

And that's saying something.

Update: Damn Gerogia. Huckabee is KICKING ASS. He won Georgia and several other states. Doesn't look like there will be a coronation of McCain tonight.

Expect to here more talk of a McCain/Huckabee ticket.

Live Blogging Super Tuesday

Here we go...

Illinois - Obama Projected Winner
No Surprise

Oklahoma - Hillary Projected Winner
No Surprise

Georgia - Obama Projected Winner
86& Black Vote
43% White Voters - That's NUTS

Managing Expectations

No one's making predictions it seems...

Clinton Campaign



“We’re all kind of guessing about what it’s all going to mean because it’s never happened before,” Clinton said. The New York senator said she found it all “intriguing and somewhat mystifying."

Obama Campaign



Obama said a “split decision” was likely. “I don’t think today’s going to end up being decisive,” the Illinois senator said.

Why a President Barack Obama is so Important to The US and the World

"Hell No I Ain't Voting for No Stinkin' John McCain," says Dobson - Or Something Like That

As Republican friends in-the-know often remind me, Dobson is THE religious right leader - not "a" leader, THE leader.

As voters in 24 states head to the polls today to choose a presidential nominee, Dr. James Dobson released a statement to The Laura Ingraham Show today. He stated his personal opinions of this critical election:

"I am deeply disappointed the Republican Party seems poised to select a nominee who did not support a Constitutional amendment to protect the institution of marriage, voted for embryonic stem-cell research to kill nascent human beings, opposed tax cuts that ended the marriage penalty, has little regard for freedom of speech, organized the Gang of 14 to preserve filibusters in judicial hearings, and has a legendary temper and often uses foul and obscene language. "I am convinced Sen. McCain is not a conservative, and in fact, has gone out of his way to stick his thumb in the eyes of those who are. He has sounded at times more like a member of the other party. McCain actually considered leaving the GOP caucus in 2001, and approached John Kerry about being Kerry's running mate in 2004. McCain also said publicly that Hillary Clinton would make a good president. Given these and many other concerns, a spoonful of sugar does NOT make the medicine go down. I cannot, and will not, vote for Sen. John McCain, as a matter of conscience. "But what a sad and melancholy decision this is for me and many other conservatives. Should Sen. McCain capture the nomination as many assume, I believe this general election will offer the worst choices for president in my lifetime. I certainly can't vote for Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama based on their virulently anti-family policy positions. If these are the nominees in November, I simply will not cast a ballot for president for the first time in my life. These decisions are my personal views and do not represent the organization with which I am affiliated. They do reflect my deeply held convictions about the institution of the family, about moral and spiritual beliefs, and about the welfare of our country."

Around noon today, Dr. Dobson talked to national talk-show host Dennis Prager. He made it clear he was not endorsing anyone.

"Dr. Dobson's statement speaks for itself," said Gary Schneeberger, vice president of media relations for Focus on the Family Action. "He made it as a private citizen, and it reflects his personal opinion of Sen. McCain's candidacy and record. People can read into it what they like; all I see is his own personal 'straight talk' regarding why he can't vote for one candidate."

Source

Primary and Caucus Closing Times

7:00 p.m.
Georgia

8:00 p.m.
Alabama
Connecticut
Delaware
Illinois
Massachusetts
Missouri
New Jersey
Oklahoma
Tennessee
Minnesota
Kansas

8:30 p.m.
Arkansas

9:00 p.m.
Arizona
New York
New Mexico
North Dakota
Colorado
Idaho

10:00 p.m.
Utah
Montana
Alaska

11:00 p.m.
California

It'a gonna be a LONG night.

Last Minute California Polling Tells Us Not a Gotdamn Thing

This just shows you what kind of day it's going to be...

Reuters/CSPAN/Zogby gives Obama a 13 point lead:

In California, which alone provides more than one-fifth of the Democratic delegates needed for the nomination, Obama led Clinton by 49 percent to 36 percent, the poll found. The margin of error was 3.3 percentage points.

Survey USA has Clinton leading by 10 points:

24 hours till votes are counted in the California Democratic Primary, Hillary Clinton appears to fend-off a late charge from Barack Obama, 52% Clinton, 42% Obama, according to SurveyUSA's 13th and final pre-primary tracking poll. Obama leads among men. Clinton leads among women. 44-point Gender Gap. Clinton leads among whites. Obama leads among blacks. 53-point Race Gap. Among younger voters, Clinton leads by 3. Among older voters, Clinton leads by 18. In greater San Francisco, the contest is tied. In the Central Valley, Clinton leads by 7. In greater Los Angeles, Clinton leads by 15. In the Inland Empire, Clinton leads by 16.

Survey USA's poll has a margin of error of +/-3.4%

Hat tip to Americablog

Picture of the Day

Rene Werse, Getty Images

Source

A Dash of Hope Going Into Super Tuesday

Quote of the Day

If Barack Obama was a state, he'd be California.
- Maria Shriver

Barack Leads in Indonesian Super Tuesday Votes

Hey, you take the good news where you can get it.

As you may have heard, Democrats Abroad, the Democratic Party committee abroad, Is having it's first Global Primary, and elects 22 delegates to the National Convention. Polls opened at 12:01 am in Jakarta Indonesia (2/5/08) last night for a special midnight voting center.

The Party Chair of DA Indonesia reports

We had a great turn out. We had twice of many people come as anticipated, great considering it was midnight voting on a "school" night.

Here are the results Barack Obama, 75%, Hillary Clinton 2http://www.blogger.com/img/gl.link.gif5%. We believe these numbers will hold for internet voting and the next voting center tomorrow. AP should be running with an updated story including percentages soon. (from the DA Chair of Indonesia- Arian

Source

The Apple Doesn't Fall too Far From the Tree

Well this explains a lot.

The Kwame and Carlita Show or Is it Worth it?

Is it worth it? I don't feel sorry for Carlita but I wonder is it worth it? That's what I've been asking myself and why I waited so long to post this video. I get why women in this position stay (H. Clinton, Vanessa Bryant). The money, the power, the possible political career of their own. But is it worth it?

Is it?

Live Blogging Super Tuesday

I will be blogging all day tomorrow and will start blogging results as soon as the polls close so look for me around 7:00/7:30pm tomorrow for results. Check in throughout the day for what's going, new developments, shady shenanigans, etc.

Cross your fingers. Tomorrow is a BIG day.